USTA Play of the Day – 9/17/2018
USTA Play of the Day
by Michael Carter
Delaware County Fair Race 8 (Pick 4)
Date: 9/17/2018 Carryover: $0 Guarantee: $5,000
Ticket: 1,6,7,10/1,2,4/5,6/4– Cost: $24.00 (1.00 cent base)
Yesterday’s Recap – We went four-for-eight in the Pick 8 at The Red Mile Yesterday which highlighted the 2018 Kentucky Sire Stakes Finals. The Pick 8 of 1/1/8/8/8/3/6/6 (7 of 8) returned $9,257.68.
Breakdown:
Race 8: #1 DONTFORGETYOURLUCK has been racing well on the fair circuit thus far throughout 2018 and looks to continue that success this week from a very good inside post. She will be facing some tougher company but has the speed to be close to the pace early. #6 DONTSTOPDREAMING has two wins in three starts for trainer/driver Ed Greeno Jr. She has a good amount of early speed and should be pressuring the pace early. Look for her presence to be felt. #7 BUGS MVP was a winner last out coming from off the pace at the fair after being passed at the head of the lane. The question here is who will be the driver as Wrenn just had his baby this morning. #10 ABEQUA gets a decent draw from the second tier which should allow her to get into the race early. She will follow speed from the inside, positioning will be key.
Race 9: #1 BIG SWEEP OSBORNE has had some success on the pari-mutuel half-mile tracks thus far. The inside draw for sure plays to his advantage as he likes to be on the lead. I expect a big effort from here. #2 GOINGTOCALIFORNIA is another speedy colt who may pressure the pace early on. This colt has a good amount of heart and will be fighting down the lane. #4 BAMBINO JOE has two wins in six starts, with four victories on the year. He has a little bit of early speed and seems to perform better when he is closer to the pace. Look for him to be aggressively driven.
Race 10: #5 BELLESVICTORYSONG has two wins in five starts and has only missed the board four times in his career. Her speed is something to not ignore because once she gets to the lead it is very tough to catch her. #6 SIMPLYAMISSION was scratched at the fair on September 13, but the break may have actually helped her. She gets a tough draw, but the speed of this filly is something I really like to see.
Race 11: #4 MOONSHINECHARLEIGH has only missed the board a couple of times in her short career and has put in some decent efforts at the pari-mutuel tracks. She was forced to come from off the pace two starts back while having to overcome monster fractions. She is a horse that could be a force to be reckoned with here.